The Mini Ice Age Starts Here
Next stop, Ice Age?
An excellent analysis in the Mail Online. The article details the natural cycles of both the Atlantic and Pacific Multi-Decadal Oscillations. Something I’ve written a lot about on this site for over a year now. The article points to research being done that shows when the ocean currents are in warm phase, the Earth experiences warming. When they are in cold phase, well, you get the idea.
The bitter winter afflicting much of the Northern Hemisphere is only the start of a global trend towards cooler weather that is likely to last for 20 or 30 years, say some of the world’s most eminent climate scientists.
Their predictions – based on an analysis of natural cycles in water temperatures in the Pacific and Atlantic oceans – challenge some of the global warming orthodoxy’s most deeply cherished beliefs, such as the claim that the North Pole will be free of ice in summer by 2013.
According to the US National Snow and Ice Data Centre in Colorado, Arctic summer sea ice has increased by 409,000 square miles, or 26 per cent, since 2007 – and even the most committed global warming activists do not dispute this.
Did you see that? Read it again.
According to the US National Snow and Ice Data Centre in Colorado, Arctic summer sea ice has increased by 409,000 square miles, or 26 per cent, since 2007 – and even the most committed global warming activists do not dispute this.
Funny. I don’t remember hearing that on my telly. Is it possible that the American Networks are holding out on us? Just wondering out loud, but I digress.
The conclusion of the scientists interviewed in the article? While the rise in CO2 levels may play a part in rising temperatures, it’s a very small part. Mostly the climate is driven by natural forces. They say the ocean currents could be as much as 50% responsible.
Prof Latif, who leads a research team at the renowned Leibniz Institute at Germany’s Kiel University, has developed new methods for measuring ocean temperatures 3,000ft beneath the surface, where the cooling and warming cycles start.
He and his colleagues predicted the new cooling trend in a paper published in 2008 and warned of it again at an IPCC conference in Geneva last September.
Last night he told The Mail on Sunday: ‘A significant share of the warming we saw from 1980 to 2000 and at earlier periods in the 20th Century was due to these cycles – perhaps as much as 50 per cent.
‘They have now gone into reverse, so winters like this one will become much more likely. Summers will also probably be cooler, and all this may well last two decades or longer.
The article doesn’t address the fact that the Sun is putting out a lot less energy. The Old Farmer’s Almanac had an article last year that speculated what the affects might be of both the Pacific and now the Atlantic in cold phases combined with a quiet Sun. They mentioned the possibility of a mini ice age. There is at least one prominent Russian scientist who believes that is possible as well. The article in the Mail reminisces about the mid-70s when many scientists were also thinking that way… and blaming man:
Prof Tsonis said that the period from 1915 to 1940 saw a strong warm mode, reflected in rising temperatures. But from 1940 until the late Seventies, the last MDO cold-mode era, the world cooled, despite the fact that carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere continued to rise.
He recalled that towards the end of the last cold mode, the world’s media were preoccupied by fears of freezing.
For example, in 1974, a Time magazine cover story predicted ‘Another Ice Age’, saying: ‘Man may be somewhat responsible – as a result of farming and fuel burning [which is] blocking more and more sunlight from reaching and heating the Earth.’
Prof Tsonis said: ‘Perhaps we will see talk of an ice age again by the early 2030s, just as the MDOs shift once more and temperatures begin to rise.’
I know I harp on this, but it matters. Cap & Trade and global climate treaties to stop global warming are the wrong approach. They will cripple already ailing economies and do nothing but redistribute wealth and give power to bureaucrats at the U.N. It’s hard to know someone’s motives, but it does fit that perhaps that is the real aim. Not to “save the planet,” (such a lofty sounding goal) but rather to manufacture an issue and use it as a power grab. Thankfully all of this cold weather is giving a lot of people pause and may help thwart those evil plans. That is why I am all for global cooling!
Today’s Global Cooling Headlines – Snow, Sleet in Florida
Arctic air has invaded the South...
Cold freezes thousands of fish in harbor...
Even Norway's buses can't take it...
Cold snap death toll rises across Europe...
Alabama off to coldest start since 1940...
Today’s Global Cooling Headlines – Brutal for much of U.S. and U.K.
Midwest bracing for heavy snow -- wind chills of 50 below!
Persistent cold tightens grip on nation...
Death toll rises to 22 in UK's biggest freeze for 30 years......
Weekend Freeze Looms for Gulf Coast...
AccuWeather: Worldwide Cold Not Seen Since 70s Ice Age Scare
Famed AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Joe Bastardi shows why this January is very similar to 1977. In addition he questions how anyone could blame this kind of cold on global warming. AccuWeather doesn’t allow embedding of their videos, but you can go directly to their site and watch it your own self by clicking on the screen grab I grabbed:
As Promised, UK Buried Under Snow
Unfortunately, the short term forecast performed much better than the computer models that predicted a warmer planet. The UK is having an historic snowstorm in the midst of one of the coldest winter’s in a century. The Sun has details:
Blizzards that yesterday crippled the North spread South overnight — and left most of the nation floundering in the white stuff.
The Army was called in to rescue 1,000 stranded motorists last night A six-year-old was left in a critical condition after falling into an icy garden pond Councils warned they have little more than a day’s road grit left Shoppers began panic-buying thermal underwear, food and wellies The tragic death of an elderly man took the death toll to five And forecasters predict more snow is still to come Safety fears were also growing fast over disappearing grit supplies as forecasters warned the current cold snap would go on for at least another week.
Salt supplies were said to have nearly run out in West Berkshire which was hit by more than 11ins (28cms) of snow.
More cold and snow on the way, or should I say, more snow on the way with the cold expected to stay.
Britain braced for heaviest snowfall in 50-years
Not the kind of headline you expect to see if the planet is warming up. The article in the Telegraph talks about Arctic weather that is causing nationwide chaos. The snow is expected to be especially heavy in the south:
Forecasters predicted that more than one foot of snow could fall in less than 24 hours in most southern areas leading to widespread chaos and disruption for millions.
The residents of Hampshire and Wiltshire were expected to be the worst hit, with as much as 16 inches likely to be dumped by the end of tomorrow.
Residents and commuters in London, which ground to a halt last February following heavy falls, were warned to expect a covering of several inches by the morning rush hour.
On the roads drivers were advised not to venture out unless their journey was absolutely essential, as councils warned they could run out of grit if the conditions failed to improve.
The Met Office claimed the amount of snow forecast could be the biggest single fall since the notorious winter of 1962-63, when some areas of the country were blighted by snow and ice for more than three months.
Good thing the planet is warming up! Think how severe this would be without global warming.
Worst U.S. Winter in 25 Years?
AccuWeather.com Forecast
AccuWeather says it’s shaping up that way… or worse:
The last time a large swath of severely low temperatures struck the nation was in January 1985. That historic arctic outbreak had below-zero temperatures Fahrenheit stretching from Chicago eastward to New York City, and all the way south to Macon, Ga.
While Bastardi says the upcoming days will bring cold not seen since 1985 or 1982, he believes this winter is shaping up much that of like 1977-78. That winter, nearly all of the United States east of the Rockies had a cold October followed by a warm November, with the cold returning in December.
What is most interesting in this case is what followed, where the months from January through March can all be classified as very cold, relative to normal.
This was the forecast from the Farmer’s Almanac. Bitterly cold is what they said back in September, at least for the midsection of the country. Seems like their forecast has been pretty good so far, although it’s been a bit cooler than predicted for the mid-Atlantic states. How do they come up with their forecasts? The exact formula is a secret, but they say they use historic data (so does AccuWeather) and solar cycles as a big part of their formula. Hmmm.
Could the Sun really be behind all of this Global Cooling? It seems to be the best predictor of the climate. One global warming scientist said in 2000 that “snow will be very a rare and exciting event.” Meanwhile, the U.K. is having it’s worst winter in 25 years, maybe more. Some solar scientists have been willing to bet that as the Sun goes into a quieter cycle that the Earth will cool. So far it seems the latter is coming true.
Unfortunately for Europe, Asia and North America this global cooling has been severe and deadly with a few months of winter yet to go. Check out some of today’s headlines:
3 Deaths Due To Cold in Memphis...
PAPER: GAS SUPPLIES RUNNING OUT IN UK...
Elderly burn books for warmth?
Vermont sets 'all-time record for one snowstorm'...
Iowa temps 'a solid 30 degrees below normal'...
Seoul buried in heaviest snowfall in 70 years...
Historic ice build-up shuts down NJ nuclear power plant...
Midwest Sees Near-Record Lows, Snow By The Foot...
Miami shivers from coldest weather in decade...
Snow Coming to the South?
AccuWeather says the cold is here and MAY be followed by a southern snowstorm. Stay tuned!
Global Cooling Hitting the Northern Hemisphere
It's Cold!
As in the ENTIRE Northern Hemisphere. Well, nearly. Let’s start in England where they are bracing for “One of the Coldest Winter in 100 Years.” The Telegraph has the frigid details:
Britain is bracing itself for one of the coldest winters for a century with temperatures hitting minus 16 degrees Celsius, forecasters have warned.
They predicted no let up in the freezing snap until at least mid-January, with snow, ice and severe frosts dominating.
And the likelihood is that the second half of the month will be even colder.
Weather patterns were more like those in the late 1970s, experts said, while Met Office figures released on Monday are expected to show that the country is experiencing the coldest winter for up to 25 years.
And while Britain is in the deep freeze, parts of the southern U.S. are expecting a “Once in a Generation Cold Snap.” So reports WNCT.com:
While temperatures won’t be falling to record lows, the National Weather Service says the duration of the cold weather is unusual. Highs could struggle to get above freezing for the next week in areas from Raleigh west.
Forecasters say there are some indications the weather with highs in the 30s and lows in the teens could last up to two weeks. A cold snap like that was last seen in January 1977.
From the North American Continent we go to India, where the cold has been fatal. iol.ca.za has more:
New Delhi – At least 17 people died as towns and cities in India’s northern states were hit by cold weather, officials said on Friday.
“Sixteen people have died in Uttar Pradesh since early Wednesday due to cold [weather] conditions in the state. Most victims were homeless or pavement dwellers,” state police spokesman G N Khanna said.
Police in Jammu, the winter capital of India-administered Kashmir, found the body of a worker who also died due to the cold.
Temperatures have plummeted in Uttar Pradesh and main cities such as Kanpur and Agra recorded temperatures as low as 1 to 4 degrees Celsius.
Finally, a story this morning out of Chicago. The Midwest is beginning a frigid cold snap and a few deaths have been reported. CBS2Chicago.com has the story:
The other three cold-related deaths occurred in Chicago on Nov. 18, Dec. 9 and last Tuesday.
The current cold snap is expected to last at least the next couple days. Friday’s high expected to be 17 degrees and wind chills are expected to reach 15-to-25 degrees below zero Saturday and Sunday morning.
Now let’s go back to our first two stories and notice something very interesting.
Weather patterns were more like those in the late 1970s, experts said…
and
A cold snap like that was last seen in January 1977.
Hmmm. Wasn’t it the ’70′s when scientists were warning of a coming ice age? Seems to me like the scientists who say that because the Sun is entering a quiet phase the Earth is getting cooler are doing a better job of predicting the cooling trend than the scientists (and politicians) who insist that increased CO2 is causing run away warming.
