New Study Shows that Global Warming would DECREASE Tropical Systems
Once again, HotAir.com is doing the reporting that most of the U.S. media won’t. It’s yet another story shooting big holes in the U.N.’s 2007 IPCC report and the claims made by Al Gore. The latest is a new study done by someone who left the his post at the IPCC because he was not happy with the politicization of the science being done there. Chris Landsea is a lead scientist at the American government’s National Hurricane Center. He co-authored the peer reviewed report that says:
the most likely impact of global warming will be to decrease the frequency of tropical storms, by up to 34% by 2100.
You can read more about it in the U.K. Times Online.
The Institute of Physics Questions Integrity of Climate Science
HotAir.com has all the highlights. The British Parliament is investigating the meaning of the East Anglia CRU e-mails and has been asking for input from the science community. The input from the Institute of Physics isn’t kind in it’s assessment of the kind of “science” being conducted by many in the climate science field. Here are just a couple of their points (emphasis Ed Morrissey of HotAir):
1. The Institute is concerned that, unless the disclosed e-mails are proved to be forgeries or adaptations, worrying implications arise for the integrity of scientific research in this field and for the credibility of the scientific method as practised in this context.
2. The CRU e-mails as published on the internet provide prima facie evidence of determined and co-ordinated refusals to comply with honourable scientific traditions and freedom of information law. The principle that scientists should be willing to expose their ideas and results to independent testing and replication by others, which requires the open exchange of data, procedures and materials, is vital. The lack of compliance has been confirmed by the findings of the Information Commissioner. This extends well beyond the CRU itself – most of the e-mails were exchanged with researchers in a number of other international institutions who are also involved in the formulation of the IPCC’s conclusions on climate change.
The Institute of Physics is not only critical of the researchers at East Anglia, but are asking questions of everyone involved with the IPCC report. There is a lot of investigation to be done, but it appears that in order to reach the desired IPCC conclusions, actual science has been sacrificed. One wonders how their reputations can be returned and how that process might happen.
Of course the American media continues to do it’s best to ignore this story. I wonder how long it will take for MSNBC, NBC, The Weather Channel, the New York Times and others to get their credibility back.
Follow the link and read more. It’s even more disconcerting, especially when you consider that the U.N. and the Obama Administration are determined to tax energy in efforts to save the planet from warming too much. The redistribution of wealth and power based on suspect science? It appears that is the case. Even in the face of these developments the EPA continues to push for regulations that would devastate the economy for no other reason than separate Americans from their money.
Epic Snow Means it’s Warming up! or Something
Al Gore's New Home?
So say the global warming believers, and some climate scientists. Of course weather isn’t climate, but weather over time is. Global warming scoffers (OK, I’m guilty) and other climate scientists point out that more snow now could indeed mean that it’s colder and getting colder, not warmer.
The New York Times has a story this morning that sort of scratches the surface of the discussion swirling around the record snow for the mid-Atlantic. Was more snow predicted by the climate models? Some are saying yes:
Jeff Masters, a meteorologist who writes on the Weather Underground blog, said that the recent snows do not, by themselves, demonstrate anything about the long-term trajectory of the planet. Climate is, by definition, a measure of decades and centuries, not months or years.
But Dr. Masters also said that government and academic studies had consistently predicted an increasing frequency of just these kinds of record-setting storms because warmer air carries more moisture.
They also point out that the Winter Olympics is fixin’ ta start with not much snow in Vancouver, BC.
Most climate scientists respond that the ferocious storms are consistent with forecasts that a heating planet will produce more frequent and more intense weather events.
But some independent climate experts say the blizzards in the Northeast no more prove that the planet is cooling than the lack of snow in Vancouver or the downpours in Southern California prove that it is warming.
However, at least one very prominent global warming advocating climate scientist is quoted as saying that snow would be a rare and exciting event in a few years. He said that 9 years ago!
One more point from today’s article (emphasis mine):
A federal government report issued last year, intended to be the authoritative statement of known climate trends in the United States, pointed to the likelihood of more frequent snowstorms in the Northeast and less frequent snow in the South and Southeast as a result of long-term temperature and precipitation patterns….
Um, its not only record snow this year in the mid-Atlantic, but it’s snowing again for the 3rd time this season in Dallas, Texas. True, one year doesn’t not a cooler planet make, but the planet has been coming off of it’s high’s for the last 7 to 9 years.
This January’s weather pattern in the Northern Hemisphere almost mirrored the ’70′s when many of the same scientists were warning of the coming ice age. AccuWeather also NAILED this Winter’s forecast (released in October) including heavy mountain snow in Arizona (we’ve been hammered), snow in the south (yep), heavy mid-Atlantic snow (you think?), AND even the lack of snow in Vancouver, B.C. for the Olympics.
Depending on who you believe, we are either headed for more warming after this brief cooling pause, or we are still warming and the record piles of snow support that, or it’s getting colder and that is the trend for the next 30 years or so. Since most civilizations do better when it’s warm, better hope it’s not the latter. If it is, we can expect more mocking from folks like me and Senator Inhofe.
As an illustration of their point of view, the family of Senator James M. Inhofe, Republican of Oklahoma, a leading climate skeptic in Congress, built a six-foot-tall igloo on Capitol Hill and put a cardboard sign on top that read “Al Gore’s New Home.”
The extreme weather, Mr. Inhofe said by e-mail, reinforced doubts about scientists’ conclusion that global warming was “unequivocal” and most likely caused by human activity.
Time to buy a big coat in case Al Gore is wrong. You can’t build bigger glaciers without more snow. Maybe more snowstorms is natures way of bringing us from the brink of devastatingly warm days at the beach and catastrophic meadows and lilies where glaciers once scrapped the ground clean of all life. Whew, that was a close one!
The Mini Ice Age Starts Here
Next stop, Ice Age?
An excellent analysis in the Mail Online. The article details the natural cycles of both the Atlantic and Pacific Multi-Decadal Oscillations. Something I’ve written a lot about on this site for over a year now. The article points to research being done that shows when the ocean currents are in warm phase, the Earth experiences warming. When they are in cold phase, well, you get the idea.
The bitter winter afflicting much of the Northern Hemisphere is only the start of a global trend towards cooler weather that is likely to last for 20 or 30 years, say some of the world’s most eminent climate scientists.
Their predictions – based on an analysis of natural cycles in water temperatures in the Pacific and Atlantic oceans – challenge some of the global warming orthodoxy’s most deeply cherished beliefs, such as the claim that the North Pole will be free of ice in summer by 2013.
According to the US National Snow and Ice Data Centre in Colorado, Arctic summer sea ice has increased by 409,000 square miles, or 26 per cent, since 2007 – and even the most committed global warming activists do not dispute this.
Did you see that? Read it again.
According to the US National Snow and Ice Data Centre in Colorado, Arctic summer sea ice has increased by 409,000 square miles, or 26 per cent, since 2007 – and even the most committed global warming activists do not dispute this.
Funny. I don’t remember hearing that on my telly. Is it possible that the American Networks are holding out on us? Just wondering out loud, but I digress.
The conclusion of the scientists interviewed in the article? While the rise in CO2 levels may play a part in rising temperatures, it’s a very small part. Mostly the climate is driven by natural forces. They say the ocean currents could be as much as 50% responsible.
Prof Latif, who leads a research team at the renowned Leibniz Institute at Germany’s Kiel University, has developed new methods for measuring ocean temperatures 3,000ft beneath the surface, where the cooling and warming cycles start.
He and his colleagues predicted the new cooling trend in a paper published in 2008 and warned of it again at an IPCC conference in Geneva last September.
Last night he told The Mail on Sunday: ‘A significant share of the warming we saw from 1980 to 2000 and at earlier periods in the 20th Century was due to these cycles – perhaps as much as 50 per cent.
‘They have now gone into reverse, so winters like this one will become much more likely. Summers will also probably be cooler, and all this may well last two decades or longer.
The article doesn’t address the fact that the Sun is putting out a lot less energy. The Old Farmer’s Almanac had an article last year that speculated what the affects might be of both the Pacific and now the Atlantic in cold phases combined with a quiet Sun. They mentioned the possibility of a mini ice age. There is at least one prominent Russian scientist who believes that is possible as well. The article in the Mail reminisces about the mid-70s when many scientists were also thinking that way… and blaming man:
Prof Tsonis said that the period from 1915 to 1940 saw a strong warm mode, reflected in rising temperatures. But from 1940 until the late Seventies, the last MDO cold-mode era, the world cooled, despite the fact that carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere continued to rise.
He recalled that towards the end of the last cold mode, the world’s media were preoccupied by fears of freezing.
For example, in 1974, a Time magazine cover story predicted ‘Another Ice Age’, saying: ‘Man may be somewhat responsible – as a result of farming and fuel burning [which is] blocking more and more sunlight from reaching and heating the Earth.’
Prof Tsonis said: ‘Perhaps we will see talk of an ice age again by the early 2030s, just as the MDOs shift once more and temperatures begin to rise.’
I know I harp on this, but it matters. Cap & Trade and global climate treaties to stop global warming are the wrong approach. They will cripple already ailing economies and do nothing but redistribute wealth and give power to bureaucrats at the U.N. It’s hard to know someone’s motives, but it does fit that perhaps that is the real aim. Not to “save the planet,” (such a lofty sounding goal) but rather to manufacture an issue and use it as a power grab. Thankfully all of this cold weather is giving a lot of people pause and may help thwart those evil plans. That is why I am all for global cooling!
AccuWeather: Worldwide Cold Not Seen Since 70s Ice Age Scare
Famed AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Joe Bastardi shows why this January is very similar to 1977. In addition he questions how anyone could blame this kind of cold on global warming. AccuWeather doesn’t allow embedding of their videos, but you can go directly to their site and watch it your own self by clicking on the screen grab I grabbed:
Worst U.S. Winter in 25 Years?
AccuWeather.com Forecast
AccuWeather says it’s shaping up that way… or worse:
The last time a large swath of severely low temperatures struck the nation was in January 1985. That historic arctic outbreak had below-zero temperatures Fahrenheit stretching from Chicago eastward to New York City, and all the way south to Macon, Ga.
While Bastardi says the upcoming days will bring cold not seen since 1985 or 1982, he believes this winter is shaping up much that of like 1977-78. That winter, nearly all of the United States east of the Rockies had a cold October followed by a warm November, with the cold returning in December.
What is most interesting in this case is what followed, where the months from January through March can all be classified as very cold, relative to normal.
This was the forecast from the Farmer’s Almanac. Bitterly cold is what they said back in September, at least for the midsection of the country. Seems like their forecast has been pretty good so far, although it’s been a bit cooler than predicted for the mid-Atlantic states. How do they come up with their forecasts? The exact formula is a secret, but they say they use historic data (so does AccuWeather) and solar cycles as a big part of their formula. Hmmm.
Could the Sun really be behind all of this Global Cooling? It seems to be the best predictor of the climate. One global warming scientist said in 2000 that “snow will be very a rare and exciting event.” Meanwhile, the U.K. is having it’s worst winter in 25 years, maybe more. Some solar scientists have been willing to bet that as the Sun goes into a quieter cycle that the Earth will cool. So far it seems the latter is coming true.
Unfortunately for Europe, Asia and North America this global cooling has been severe and deadly with a few months of winter yet to go. Check out some of today’s headlines:
3 Deaths Due To Cold in Memphis...
PAPER: GAS SUPPLIES RUNNING OUT IN UK...
Elderly burn books for warmth?
Vermont sets 'all-time record for one snowstorm'...
Iowa temps 'a solid 30 degrees below normal'...
Seoul buried in heaviest snowfall in 70 years...
Historic ice build-up shuts down NJ nuclear power plant...
Midwest Sees Near-Record Lows, Snow By The Foot...
Miami shivers from coldest weather in decade...
Global Cooling Hitting the Northern Hemisphere
It's Cold!
As in the ENTIRE Northern Hemisphere. Well, nearly. Let’s start in England where they are bracing for “One of the Coldest Winter in 100 Years.” The Telegraph has the frigid details:
Britain is bracing itself for one of the coldest winters for a century with temperatures hitting minus 16 degrees Celsius, forecasters have warned.
They predicted no let up in the freezing snap until at least mid-January, with snow, ice and severe frosts dominating.
And the likelihood is that the second half of the month will be even colder.
Weather patterns were more like those in the late 1970s, experts said, while Met Office figures released on Monday are expected to show that the country is experiencing the coldest winter for up to 25 years.
And while Britain is in the deep freeze, parts of the southern U.S. are expecting a “Once in a Generation Cold Snap.” So reports WNCT.com:
While temperatures won’t be falling to record lows, the National Weather Service says the duration of the cold weather is unusual. Highs could struggle to get above freezing for the next week in areas from Raleigh west.
Forecasters say there are some indications the weather with highs in the 30s and lows in the teens could last up to two weeks. A cold snap like that was last seen in January 1977.
From the North American Continent we go to India, where the cold has been fatal. iol.ca.za has more:
New Delhi – At least 17 people died as towns and cities in India’s northern states were hit by cold weather, officials said on Friday.
“Sixteen people have died in Uttar Pradesh since early Wednesday due to cold [weather] conditions in the state. Most victims were homeless or pavement dwellers,” state police spokesman G N Khanna said.
Police in Jammu, the winter capital of India-administered Kashmir, found the body of a worker who also died due to the cold.
Temperatures have plummeted in Uttar Pradesh and main cities such as Kanpur and Agra recorded temperatures as low as 1 to 4 degrees Celsius.
Finally, a story this morning out of Chicago. The Midwest is beginning a frigid cold snap and a few deaths have been reported. CBS2Chicago.com has the story:
The other three cold-related deaths occurred in Chicago on Nov. 18, Dec. 9 and last Tuesday.
The current cold snap is expected to last at least the next couple days. Friday’s high expected to be 17 degrees and wind chills are expected to reach 15-to-25 degrees below zero Saturday and Sunday morning.
Now let’s go back to our first two stories and notice something very interesting.
Weather patterns were more like those in the late 1970s, experts said…
and
A cold snap like that was last seen in January 1977.
Hmmm. Wasn’t it the ’70′s when scientists were warning of a coming ice age? Seems to me like the scientists who say that because the Sun is entering a quiet phase the Earth is getting cooler are doing a better job of predicting the cooling trend than the scientists (and politicians) who insist that increased CO2 is causing run away warming.
Where’s the “Global Warming” Dividend?
Happy Snowman! Sad snow removal budgets.
You know, like the peace dividend? We’ve been hearing for a very long time now that the Earth is getting warmer. Wouldn’t that mean, you know, warmer? Usually when it’s warmer you have less snow, not more! In fact, the blog Watts Up with That dug up a quote in The Independent dated March 20, 2000. The article quotes noted Scientist Dr. David Viner ( with the agency now embroiled in Climategate) as saying:
According to Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia, within a few years winter snowfall will become “a very rare and exciting event”.
This rare and exciting event has blanketed much of the nation. Many places saw a rare event indeed… as in the most snow ever from a December storm. Places like Oklahoma City, Washingto D.C. and almost the entire state of Iowa. Instead of getting a “Global Warming” dividend, many states are already straining under snow removal bills with over 3/4 of the Winter still to go. From today’s Wall Street Journal:
Maryland’s State Highway Administration has spent more than $27 million this year on snow removal, the bulk of that clearing away a massive pre-Christmas storm. But the agency’s annual snow-removal budget is just $26 million.
Officials will have to “make adjustments in other areas of their operating budgets” to cover the overrun, the state’s transportation secretary, Beverley Swaim-Staley, said in a statement.
Similar adjustments are going on across the country — and they often mean less plowing.
Colorado officials recently notified residents in rural areas that they will let snow sit overnight on 2,800 miles of sparsely traveled state highways to cut down on overtime costs.
The bad news for Maryland, and other snow weary locales? The AccuWeather Winter Forecast is tracking true. That means more snow for the south and especially the mid-Atlantic for the next couple of months. The only part that they are missing is the warm part for the Pacific Northwest… but I digress.
The good news is the Democrats in the Senate have all but given up on trying to pass Cap & Trade. they are recognizing the political danger of passing a bill that would cripple an already severely ailing economy. Perhaps they are also realizing that it’s getting colder, not warmer.
Some Chinese Scientists Say Warmer is Better for China
Sunny Days Ahead?
This is a very interesting look by the L.A. Times at the thought by some scientists that warmer temperatures are better for China. A few things really stand out for me in this article. First, that in China scientists are reluctant to talk publicly about their opposition to the man-made global warming “theory.” The other is the revelation that when it was cold in China at the beginning of the 13th Century it caused the desert to grow!
Scientific studies show that the Mongol invasions under Genghis Khan at the beginning of the 13th century were hastened by a sharp drop in temperatures and the phenomenon known as desertification.
“With the cold temperatures there was a drought in Mongolia. Since people were eating livestock which fed on the grasslands, they needed to go south,” said Xie Zhenghui, of the Chinese Academy of Sciences’ International Center for Climate and Environmental Sciences. “When there was warmer weather and more rain, the Mongols didn’t need to attack the south.”
The same went for pre-Khan invaders. The Western Zhou dynasty came to an abrupt end in 771 BC, when the effects of cold weather drove barbarian tribes southward to sack the city of Xian, the capital whose glory is epitomized in the artistry of the terra-cotta warriors.
Higher temperatures, on the other hand, have marked periods of major progress.
Why are the world’s leaders meeting in the hopes of cooling off the planet? A colder world is not a happier one. History teaches us that civilizations thrive during warmer weather and die in the cold. That’s not good news when you consider that the Sun is entering a quiet phase and many scientists say the long term forecast is colder, not warmer, no matter what happens in Copenhagen.
Climate Change is Natural: 100 Reasons Why
Anchorage Shivers in the Snow
Read all about it in the Daily Express. Why is it that the UK papers do a better job of covering both sides of this debate than American papers? Or am I wrong on that?
Some of my favorite reasons listed in the article:
2) Man-made carbon dioxide emissions throughout human history constitute less than 0.00022 percent of the total naturally emitted from the mantle of the earth during geological history
4) After World War II, there was a huge surge in recorded CO2 emissions but global temperatures fell for four decades after 1940.
8) The IPCC theory is driven by just 60 scientists and favourable reviewers not the 4,000 usually cited
10) A large body of scientific research suggests that the sun is responsible for the greater share of climate change during the past hundred years.
17) The science of what determines the earth’s temperature is in fact far from settled or understood.
There are many many more, but you get the idea.
There seems to be way more than enough evidence against man-made global warming to stop trying to tax energy and redistribute the wealth of the United States and other developed countries. Cap & Trade and the Copenhagen Climate Treaty must die very public deaths. Let’s get back to the business of domestic production of fossil fuels and put Americans back to work. Maybe we can warm a cooling Earth just enough to hand the next generation a better planet than what we inherited. It IS cold out there! Calgary, Alberta just set a new record low for the date of -32.4 Celsius!
